Impact of new climate legislation Unnoticeable: 0.0009°F to 0.028°F in 2100 Why is no media describing just 𝗵𝗼𝘄 𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘁𝗹𝗲 your $369 billion will achieve? Instead, we're being told: "the most significant legislation in history to tackle the climate crisis" (Biden)

The CO₂e reduction estimate comes from the Rhodium group's new reduction estimate My analysis use the average difference between their current policy and Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). This goes from zero in 2022 to 511Mt CO₂e in 2030. rhg.com/research/infla…

The $369 billion only goes to 2030 (still unclear, but not further) Low estimate assumes IRA only causes reductions for 2022-30 (underestimate) High estimate assumes IRA continues 511MtCO₂e reductions every year from 2031-2100 (big overestimate) democrats.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/…

Baseline is RCP4.5, as used e.g. by UNFCCC here unfccc.int/news/cop26-upd… Biden quote "the most significant legislation in history to tackle the climate crisis" whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/… UN Climate model, live.magicc.org

Why is media not demanding to see the actual climate impact of spending $369 billion The UN's own climate model shows that the impact will be impossible to detect by mid-century and still unnoticeable even in the best case by the year 2100 Shouldn't we hear that? refs in

Impact of new climate legislation (°C) Unnoticeable: 0.0005°C to 0.016°C in 2100 Why is no media describing just 𝗵𝗼𝘄 𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘁𝗹𝗲 $369 billion will achieve? Instead, we're being told: "the most significant legislation in history to tackle the climate crisis" (Biden)

Notice, as Roger Pielke points out, that so far the groups analyzing the legislation have all said it will reduce emissions, but not actually showed *how* this will happen... problematic twitter.com/RogerPielkeJr/…