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Gilles Demaneuf

Gilles Demaneuf
@gdemaneuf

Aug 29, 2022
8 tweets
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Jon Cohen

Jon Cohen
@sciencecohen

Jon Cohen

Jon Cohen
@sciencecohen

I wasn't pinpointing when Andersen changed his mind. I was making the point, emphasized by Andersen (see NYT link), that his thinking evolved. Trying to gotcha me about timing is committing a Carlson: You're miscasting my point to bolster your argument on a different question.

It evolved so fast that it was already all nicely formed in the first draft of PO of the 4 Feb 2020, 3 days after Fauci’s conf call.

I have zero interest in these US politics. My point is about giving the impression that there was a slow change of mind over months to the publication of PO. No. The conclusion was written first (4 Feb), the authors were still arguing on 11 Feb, and final version was on 17 Feb
All they needed was a bit more data, as NASEM pointed in the OSTP letter of the 6 Feb. Bingo! That data came in the next day with the (false) 99% pangolins claims of South China Uni.
8/9 I am not sure if Daszak disclosed any conflict of interest at the time (as was required during that first virtual meeting). Or if Andersen disclosed that he had already made his mind on the origins on the 4 Feb despite the letter sent by NASEM to the OSTP on the 6 Feb.
As described here:
4/9 On 6 Feb 2020, NASEM answered the OSTP letter after consulting with Andersen, Daszak, Gronvall, Bedford, Inglesby, Baric, Perlman and Chakravarti. The message was that additional genomic data was necessary to make sense of the origins. @Roger Pielke Jr.🇺🇦
And just in case, the first PO draft was written the day (4 Feb) after OSTP requested some information on the origins (3 Feb):
2/9 The first draft of the Proximal Origin was sent to Farrar on 4 Feb. I missed that the day before the Office of Science and Technology (OSTP, White House) sent a letter to the National Academy of Science (NASEM) about the Indian HIV inserts paper and asking for expert advice.
Which just happens to brings us back to: - PO co-authors Andersen + Holmes (who contacted SCU on the 7 Feb) - OSTP (Droegemeier) - NASEM (McNutt, Dazau) - Fauci and you via Summary.Feb7.pdf
I can only imagine the pressure some must have felt to close down any non-natural virus avenue in the response to the OSTP (White House) request of 3 Feb. Then obviously someone had to close the natural virus accident avenue too. twitter.com/gdemaneuf/stat
A tight schedule within 18 days of the Fauci/Farrar call, with: - Proximal Origin dealing mostly with the man-made virus angle (while having internal divisions as to a possible accident with a natural virus), - then Daszak quickly shutting down the accident avenue in Lancet.
Anyway, that coincidental (and debunked) 99% pangolin claim of the 7 Feb helped. No need to change the main conclusion of the first draft of PO (4 Feb). All that is needed is to plug the pangolins in. twitter.com/gdemaneuf/stat @Jérémy André Florès @Emily Kopp @U.S. Right To Know @Paul D. Thacker
16/ At this stage, it is time to look at the genesis of the Proximal Origins in the context of the pangolins papers of that time. Proximal Origin uses the pangolin findings to try to make its case in EACH ONE of the 3 hypothese its considers, despite some strong limitations:
Gilles Demaneuf

Gilles Demaneuf

@gdemaneuf
Pointy Head. Opinions, analyses and views expressed are purely mine and should not in any way be characterised as representing any institution or company.
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