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Andrew Erickson™

Andrew Erickson™

Nov 24, 2022
25 tweets

Before you prepare your Thanksgiving dinner. Prepare the best fantasy football lineup. With these stats for today's 3-game slate.

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown Buffalo has allowed over 320 passing yards in back-to-back weeks on defense. As a result, no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing WRs.
Over the last four weeks... St. Brown is averaging a 34% target share, 7 catches and 80 receiving yards per game. The Bills defense also has allowed nearly twice as many passing TDs on the road this season versus home (0.8 vs 1.5).
The Lions are tied for second in passing TDs per game at home (2.6) and dead last in that category on the road (0.4). Jared Goff could be sneaky 👀
Sit Adam Thielen. The Patriots pass defense ranks first in EPA. They have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game to WRs. Adam Thielen has just a 14% target share since T.J. Hockenson joined the team.
His best weekly finish since the trade is WR26. He has averaged 4 catches for 59 yards. Thielen is touchdown-or-bust. The Patriots defense ranks 6th in red-zone defense. And they have allowed the second-fewest TDs to WRs per game this season (0.4)
Start Gabe Davis The Lions’ improved run defense has not translated into their secondary. Since Week 8, only the Minnesota Vikings are allowing more fantasy points per game to WRs.
The Lions have had a strong boundary defense... Credit to No. 1 cornerback, Jeff Okudah. However, he is sidelined with a concussion.
That means it’s wheels up for all Buffalo WRs including Gabriel Davis. Over his last two games, Davis has posted a 26% target share and a team-high 44% air yards share.
The Lions defense has allowed the league’s highest average depth of target (9.3) and yards per attempt (8.1, tied with Minnesota). #kaboom
Buyer Beware on Devin Singletary Rookie James Cook looked spry in Week 11, rushing for 86 yards on 11 carries on his largest snap share since Week 2 (blowout game) His 13 backfield opportunities were also a season-high.
Still very possible the rookie gets more involved as the season progresses, even though he had just 3 carries in the 1st half.
Singletary looks to be in another great spot this week versus the Detroit Lions... But be warned that their defense has not been the same pushover it’s been to start the season. Last 4 wks, the Lions have limited RB fantasy production to the Dolphins, Bears, Packers and Giants.
They have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points per game to RBs (14.3 points per game). Instead, they have allowed the second-most rushing (64) and passing yards (328) to QBs.
Don't start D'Andre Swift. Played less snaps than Justin Jackson last week (37% vs 31%) Since the bye week four weeks ago, Swift is RB33 in expected fantasy points and has averaged 7.5 touches per game.
Averaged just 10.5 rushing yards, but has salvaged fantasy production with three touchdowns.... And 3 catches per game (13% target share).
Start Jakobi Meyers. The Vikings defense ranks last in yards per attempt (8.1) and 31st in passing yards allowed per game. They are also allowing the league’s second-highest completion rate.
Their primary slot cornerback – Chandon Sullivan – has allowed a league-high 40 catches for 513 receiving yards while in coverage this season.
Jakobi Meyers leads the Patriots with a 26% target share in Mac Jones‘ last three starts... Averaging 7.3 catches for 70 receiving yards. The Patriots quarterback also has a 73% completion rate (4th) since Week 8.
Start Dawson Knox. The Lions have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to TEs this season Dawson Knox led the Bills with 7 targets (tying Gabriel Davis with a 28% target share)... Catching all 7 for 70 yards while running a route on 83% of dropbacks in Week 11.
Elite tight end usage for two straight weeks. Additionally, he has garnered a 20% target share averaging just over 60 receiving yards per game. Start him across all formats as a fantasy TE1.
Start Dalton Schultz The Giants are allowing the fifth-most receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends. In five games with Dak Prescott, Dalton Schultz has a 20.5% target share.
He’s averaged 5.4 receptions, 6.8 targets and 52.2 receiving yards. Schultz also leads Dallas in red-zone targets (8) and targets inside the 10-yard line (5)
Start Tony Pollard. In this same matchup back in Week 3, Tony Pollard rushed 13 times for 105 yards. New York ranks dead-last in yards per reception to opposing RBs this season (10.1) Big Blue has also allowed the 6th-highest percentage of rushing TDs.
Thanks for checking out the thread! If you enjoyed it, please give it a RT or me @Andrew Erickson™ a follow! Enjoy the day everyone! 🦃🦃🦃
Andrew Erickson™

Andrew Erickson™

Fantasy Football Analyst with @FantasyPros 2 Top-10 weeks in Accuracy Rankings Competition in 2022 My goal: Make it easy for you to win at fantasy football.
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