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Kos Samaras

Kos Samaras
@KosSamaras

Nov 24
5 tweets
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Vic election. It’s not a 2 horse race Labor v LNP Labor v Greens Labor v Western Melb Indis Lib v Teal Lib v Country Indi Country Indi v Nats All are serious contests It is a 2 horse race for who gets to govern. LNP need a uniform 10% swing. Plus not to lose any seats 1

Seats they claim they can win, they have never held. Labor worries about Cranbourne, but it has held it since its creation in 2002. The same applies to Narre North and many other seats that they need to win to get to 18. They also need to hold back teals and country indis. 2
That’s one very big mountain they need to climb and even as late as this week, they are only securing 22% of the Millennial vote, which in Melbourne is now the largest block of voters. In the seats mentioned, they make up over 50% of voters. 3
So not only do they need a 10% swing, securing seats they have never won, they need to convince Millennials to do something they are in the majority not doing across the western world. Vote conservative.
*on Cranbourne. Urban version.
Kos Samaras

Kos Samaras

@KosSamaras
Director at RedBridge Group Australia. Board Member - John Curtin Research Centre. Endurance athlete. Religion: Stoicism.
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