Pouring some cold water on the latest wave of AI hype: I could be wrong, but my guess is that we do not get AGI just by scaling ChatGPT, and that it takes surprisingly long from here. Parents conceiving today may have a fair chance of their child living to see kindergarten.

Eliezer Yudkowsky

@ESYudkowsky

The original AI alignment person. Understanding the reasons it's difficult since 2003. This is my serious low-volume account. Follow @allTheYud for the rest.

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Eliezer Yudkowsky @ESYudkowsky

Pouring some cold water on the latest wave of AI hype: I could be wrong, but my guess is that we do *not* get AGI just by scaling ChatGPT, and that it takes *surprisingly* long from here. Parents conceiving today may have a fair chance of their child living to see kindergarten.

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Eliezer Yudkowsky
@ESYudkowsky

Pouring some cold water on the latest wave of AI hype: I could be wrong, but my guess is that we do not get AGI just by scaling ChatGPT, and that it takes surprisingly long from here. Parents conceiving today may have a fair chance of their child living to see kindergarten.