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倪明达 (Ni Mingda)

倪明达 (Ni Mingda)
@NiMingda_GG

Mar 4, 2023
11 tweets
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1/ In 1990, the U.S. promised the Soviets that NATO will not expand "one inch eastward". In 2014, the U.S. orchestrated a coup in Kiev & turned Ukraine into a dagger on Russia's side. In 1979, the U.S. also made an agreement with Beijing to recognise Taiwan as part of China.

2/ Called the Joint Communiqué on the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations, the U.S. formally acknowledged that there is only one China & that Taiwan is part of China. UN recognition was even earlier. It adopted Resolution 2758 in 1971 which established the one-China principle.
3/ So what does this UN resolution & U.S. agreement mean in practice? It means that Taiwan (including its airspace & waters) is PART of Chinese sovereign territory. Just because Beijing allowed the regime in Taipei to continue ruling the island does NOT change its legal status.
4/ Therefore when the U.S. sends troops to Taiwan, it is illegally occupying Chinese territory. Under the guise of "deterring Beijing", the U.S. is also ramping up weapons supply to the rebel regime in Taipei. The U.S. intends to turn Taiwan into a dagger against China.
5/ The U.S. also knows that it has limited time to flood Taiwan with weapons. Unlike Ukraine, Taiwan is an island. In the event of a war, Taiwan would likely be blockaded by Chinese military, making rearmament near impossible.
6/ So the USA's plan to turn Taiwan into a "porcupine" is a ploy. If China does nothing, it risks allowing the U.S. to turn Taiwan into a heavily armed American carrier. If China launches an attack, it would be fighting a proxy war... just like Russia. twitter.com/NiMingda_GG/st…
Why Western Attempt to Turn Taiwan Into a "Porcupine" is Meant to Goad China Rather than Deter an Attack: twitter.com/NiMingda_GG/st…
7/ However, U.S. plan to use Taiwan as a proxy would fail if Taiwan decides to reunify with China peacefully. This is why the U.S. is doing everything it can to support Taiwanese separatism... even sending members of Congress to encourage them. Just like in Ukraine in 2014.
8/ CSIS also ran a wargame to simulate a war between the U.S. & China over Taiwan. It predicted the U.S. would win... but ONLY IF Taiwan's separatists do not capitulate. In short, the U.S. wants Taiwan to fight to the last Taiwanese, just like Ukraine. twitter.com/NiMingda_GG/st…
CSIS Wargame - An Attempt to Convince American Decision Makers That War with China is Winnable: twitter.com/NiMingda_GG/st…
9/ So how does China stop Taiwan from becoming an American dagger without falling into U.S. proxy war? Suggestion for @Spokesperson发言人办公室: Get the people of Taiwan to "throw the heads of their separatist leaders over the wall". The gates of Taiwan can only be opened by its own people.
10/ The U.S. controlled Western media are now ramping up anti-China disinformation to convince Americans why they should meddle in the internal affairs of a nation thousands of miles away. Don’t be fooled! This is NOT your fight. You don’t want to bring war to your doorstep…
Why a U.S. Military Conflict With China Will Likely See War & Destruction Visit the U.S. Homeland: twitter.com/NiMingda_GG/st…
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倪明达 (Ni Mingda)
Geopolitical analysis with focus on China | BEng(Hons), DipIT(Distinction), DipEng(Merit)
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