Our German hybris is doing serious damage! #SPD claims in #Taurus debate & Pistorius already in June "We are the second strongest supporters of #Ukraine after the USA!" & "these are the decisive months" After more than 630 days of war, this unfortunately seems cynical, why?1/

Since 24.02. GER has spent approx. 22 billion € on support for #Ukraine, 14 billion (64%) on Ukrainian refugees in Germany, primarily because of "Bürgergeld", instead of immediately recognizing their educational qualifications & promoting rapid integration into language+work. 2/

Too little military support for #Ukraine is causing more & more refugees, war casualties & victims, instead of supporting the success of the #counteroffensive through massive mil. support with e.g. #Taurus, more #Leopard, ammo etc. to support the success of the offensive. 3/

Only €4.2 billion (approx 19%) of the total GER Ukraine aid, that actually received! is military support. This does not put us in 2nd place! As the 4th strongest economic power+arms exporter, we are far behind our possibilities & far behind the claim to be a leading nation 4/

We are partly responsible for the increasingly limited capabilities of the AFU and Russia's military terror. This is disastrous for us all! In Europe, UK, Norway & the Baltic states contribute significantly more, up to 1.4% of GDP, while GER only contributes around 0.4% of GDP 5/

Systems like IRIS-T are great for protecting cities, but they are very expensive and therefore of no use against the mass deployment of cheap Russian and Iranian drones. #Gepard also protect cities 6/

#Leopard2 main battle tanks (18 units, i.e. 5% of the Bundeswehr's inventory), PzH2000 self-propelled howitzers (14 units) and MARS rocket launchers (5 units) were delivered. But far too few for a frontline length equivalent to the distance from Flensburg to Milan. 7/

There is a massive shortage of artillery ammunition - but still GER refuses to boost the arms industry & place orders to produce hundreds of MBT, self-propelled howitzers, drones, cruise missiles, etc. This was already demanded by #NATO General Secretary in the summer of 2022 8/

Voices, including from the #SPD, who claim that the Ukrainians would not fight as trained by the Bundeswehr are just as full of hybris: the Bundeswehr has - fortunately - never had to prove whether the concept of "combined arms combat" works at all. 9/

By the way, the basic prerequisite for this is their own air superiority, which #Ukraine does not have. Attempts to compensate for this have so far been denied or delayed by Germany: #Taurus, fighter jets etc. 10/

GER air defense primarily serves to protect civil infrastructure & population, but is not used to defend #AFU at the frontline. Simply because far too little is supplied. Result: AFU is helplessly exposed to RUS air superiority & has far more casualties than with "all in"! 11/

The @Bundeskanzler Olaf Scholz words "we will support Ukraine for as long as it takes" are deliberately proving to be a dangerous, deceptive phrase, because he's gradually abandoning #Ukraine to decay. The correct strategy must be: ASAP, as much as possible 12/ https://twitter.com/Makeiev/status/1724695730663600318…

However, with increasing numbers of refugees and multiple "announcements", Germany can always claim to be the "second largest supporter" of Ukraine compared to other European countries. 13/

However, through GER military restraint, we are supporting flight and expulsion to Central Europe & promoting the brutal Russian approach. Because far too little is being delivered far too slowly! This is not enough to liberate territories, to push Russia back 14/

Statements by #Scholz to support #Ukraine in defending its sovereignty and territorial integrity are also empty phrases, because he is not referring to the restoration of territorial integrity & sovereignty within the borders of 1991 15/

Scholz is referring to the bloody status quo since 2014/2022! This also explains the restrained German military support for Ukraine. 16/

This approach by #Scholz would lead to a #Russian victory and that would have disastrous consequences for Germany, Europe and the rules-based order that @Carlo "Realism, Gedankenfetzen and Rants" Masala and @Nico Lange point out 17/ https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2023-11/krieg-ukraine-russland-wladimir-putin-sieg-europa…

Statements from the German government that if #Ukraine is invited into #NATO #Putin could "escalate" further fit into this mood - that's self-deterrence! Putin escalates against the Ukrainian civilian population all the time! 18/

The statement from the German government that the prospect of #EU membership would only lead to Ukraine's disappointment because its realization would take an unrealistically long time, such as Western Balkans, fits in just as well. 19/

If this continues, Ukraine will be left with a shambles of vague hints and empty promises and will simply have been exploited to die for our freedom and virtually sacrifice itself. 20/

So #Putin and #Russia are in a win-win situation. With flight and expulsion, Putin destabilizes Ukraine and strengthens the populist parties in Central Europe, thus maintaining Russia as an imperial and colonial terrorist state! 21/

On the other hand, with Ukraine, Russia is creating a blueprint for #Chinese action against #Taiwan, #Iran against Iraq, Serbia in the Balkans and so on, all in violation of international law 22/

Russia's imperial hunger would then not be satisfied, but attacks on Moldova, the Baltic states and NATO would probably follow 23/ https://www.dw.com/de/kriegsgefahr-durch-russland-kurzes-zeitfenster-f%C3%BCr-die-nato/a-67422027?maca=de-Twitter-sharing…

At the same time, GER society is becoming war-weary due to a lack of orientation, attitude & explanation by the political leaders, making it easier for Putin to force into #Minsk3 : territorial cessions & dictatorial peace desired by the Chancellery. 24/ https://www.faz.net/aktuell/ukraine/ukraine-unterstuetzung-wo-eu-staaten-trotz-ernuechterung-helfen-wollen-19318383.html…

25/ to be continued...

The consequences are mass flight and expulsion from #Ukraine, damage to transatlantic relations, including Trump's re-election, and an extreme loss of credibility and attractiveness of the international rules-based order 25/

The end result is a strengthened #Russia and a weakened #Europe - instead of credibly implementing the goal of a #Ukraine within the borders of 1991 and making Russia learn to lose (means that Russia unconditionally recognizes the right of its neighbouring states to exist) 26/

The consequences are monstrous war crimes, genocide and the fact that the shift of borders through military force is still profitable in Europe. Germany is unfortunately making it possible for the #NieWieder to happen again! 27/

Thus we are experiencing what the US scientist Barbara Tuchmann described in the 1980s with her German book title about the path to the First World War: "Die Torheit der Regierenden"/ „The March of Folly“ ! 28/

Therefore: There is a possibility for a #Ukraine victory and effective containment of Russia. ALL IN now! 29/ https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1724819553601957957…

#Pistorius could have made this clear during his solidarity visit to #Kyiv. The renewed announcement of further support is good, but it must not remain just fine words that are then cashed in by #Scholz through inaction. #FreeTaurus #UkraineMustWin 30/30 https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/taurus-debatte-102.html…