Thread Reader
โœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Dave Burton

โœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Dave Burton
@ncdave4life

Jul 4, 2024
7 tweets
Tweet

1/7. Contrary to Prof. Christopher Taylor's claim, global greening is not "maxed out." That outlier Baozhang Chen study he cited is even contradicted by the IPCC: twitter.com/ncdave4life/st (Note: accelerated terrestrial carbon uptake = greening.)

โœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Dave Burton

โœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Dave Burton
@ncdave4life

3/9. AR6 FAQ 5.1 also shows how both terrestrial and marine carbon sinks have accelerated, here: ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1 Here's the key graph; I added the orange box, to highlight the only part climate activists notice. sealevel.info/AR6_FAQ_5p1_Fi
2/7. Here's a compilation of that thread (because Twitter/๐• keeps shadowbanning my tweetstorms): threadreaderapp.com/thread/1719382 @Elon Musk, @Linda Yaccarino, @Support, @Premium PLEASE end ๐•'s SHADOWBANNING of replies โ€” even replies to one's own tweets (tweetstorms). What good is a tweetstorm if you can't find the 2nd tweet while viewing the 1st?
3/7. Xin Chen et al (2024) refutes that outlier Baozhang Chen et al (2022) study: sciencedirect.com/science/articl Chen, Xin et al (2024). The global greening continues despite increased drought stress since 2000. Global Ecology and Conservation, Volume 49, 2024, e02791, doi:10.1016/j.gecco.2023.e02791.
4/7. Here's AR6 WG1 Table 5.1, which shows how natural CO2 removals are accelerating: ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1 I annotated it here: sealevel.info/AR6_WG1_Table_
5/7. Here are the relevant parts: sealevel.info/AR6_WG1_Table_ As you can see, as atmospheric CO2 levels have risen, the natural CO2 removal rate has sharply accelerated. (That's a strong negative/stabilizing climate feedback.)
6/7. Here's the caption, saying that natural removal of carbon from the atmosphere is NOT weakening. (They should've stopped with the word "No." The rest is a muddled attempt at "spin.") The AR6 authors did PREDICT a "decline" in the FUTURE, "if" emissions "continue to increase." But it hasn't happened yet. sealevel.info/AR6_FAQ_5.1_NO What's more, the "decline" which they predicted was NOT for the rate of natural CO2 removals by greening and marine sinks, anyhow. Rather, if you read it carefully, you'll see that that hypothetical "decline" was predicted just for the ratio of natural removals to emissions. What's more, their prediction was conditional, depending on what happens with future emissions ("if CO2 emissions continue to increase"). Predictions are cheap. MY prediction is that natural removals of CO2 will continue to accelerate, for as long as CO2 levels rise. (MY prediction is based on scientific evidence, not political spin.) The "fraction" which AR6 predicts might decline, someday, does NOT represent anything physical, anyhow. It is one minus the equally unphysical "airborne fraction." Our emission rate is currently about twice the natural removal rate, so if emissions were halved, the removal "fraction" would be 100%, and the atmospheric CO2 level would plateau. If emissions were cut by more than half then the removal "fraction" would be more than 100%, and the CO2 level would be falling.
Nigel Duffy

Nigel Duffy
@deltablues11

How is global greening maxed out according to Blackmans law. Please show your work.
7/7. The greening trend is driven largely by the response of C3 plants (especially trees), to rising CO2 levels. That's the green curve: sealevel.info/C3_and_C4_Pfla As you can see, the CO2 level would have to rise above 1000 ppmv (โ€œ0,10โ€) before the benefits of additional CO2 would significantly diminish.
โœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Dave Burton

โœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Dave Burton

@ncdave4life
My preferred pronoun is "harmless data drudge." https://t.co/YTkK6vaHGs Tel: +1 919-481-0098.
Follow on ๐•
Missing some tweets in this thread? Or failed to load images or videos? You can try to .