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✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton

✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton
@ncdave4life

Jul 9, 2024
15 tweets
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1/15≫ Dr. Belch (why oh why isn't she a gastroenterologist?) seems not to recognize the significance of the story. Climate activists predicted that if Earth's average temperature got to 1.5Β°C above the pre-industrial (late Little Ice Age) baseline it would be a disaster. But they did, and nothing bad happened. The significance of that is that it means the climate activists were completely wrong.

Dr Jill Belch

Dr Jill Belch
@JillBelch

So climate deniers who say β€˜it’s a scam’, where are you now? #NotAClimateScam Temperatures 1.5C above pre-industrial era average for 12 months, data shows. Copernicus #ClimateChange Service says results show a β€˜large & continuing shift’ in the climate. theguardian.com/environment/ar
2/15≫ In case you're wondering, the 4 known factors which caused 2023 to be so mild were: 1. A strong El NiΓ±o spike. And 2. IMO 2020 shipping regulations drastically reduced sulfate aerosol air pollution (The IMO says they resulted in "an estimated 46% decrease in ship-emitted aerosols," which equates to a sudden 10% decrease in total global SO2 emissions, which is a large improvement in a short time, with a significant warming effect). And 3. The unusual 2022 Hunga Tonga eruption, which humidified the stratosphere. And 4. Also a little bit of warming from the ongoing slow rise in atmospheric CO2 levels (though only about 25 ppmv/decade). It's all good, though (unfortunately) #1 & #3 are temporary.
3/15≫ Q: And what was the result of all that warmth? A: Nothing. Nothing bad, anyhow. We still get storms, but they're no worse than in the past. sealevel.info/learnmore.html
4/15≫ In fact, some categories of storms have decreased. climateataglance.com/climate-at-a-g
5/15≫ Although droughts still happen, drought impacts are reduced, because elevated CO2 levels make plants more water-efficient and drought resilient. Refs: x.com/ncdave4life/st
✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton

✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton
@ncdave4life

1/7. This PBS piece is extremely misleading. Elevated CO2 greatly improves crop yields, and it mitigates drought impacts, by improving plants' water use efficiency (WUE) and drought resilience. See: masterresource.org/carbon-dioxide I asked ChatGPT to explain the mechanism by which agronomists have found that elevated CO2 improves crops' WUE and drought resilience. It did a good job: ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍ ‍‍‍‍‍‍ ‍‍꧁꧂ In agronomy, the effects of elevated CO2 on plant water use efficiency and drought resilience are extensively studied. One of the key mechanisms through which elevated CO2 levels improve water use efficiency is by reducing stomatal conductance and, consequently, water loss through transpiration. Stomata are small pores on the surface of plant leaves that regulate gas exchange, including the uptake of CO2 for photosynthesis and the release of water vapor through transpiration. When CO2 levels are elevated, plants can maintain the same or higher rate of photosynthesis while reducing stomatal conductance. This reduction in stomatal conductance leads to a decrease in water loss through transpiration without significantly affecting CO2 uptake, resulting in improved water use efficiency. Several studies have quantified the effect of elevated CO2 on stomatal conductance and transpiration. For example, a meta-analysis published in 2013 (Kimball et al., 2013) found that under elevated CO2 levels, stomatal conductance decreased by an average of 22%, while transpiration decreased by only 17%. This indicates that plants under elevated CO2 levels were able to reduce water loss more efficiently than they reduced CO2 uptake, leading to an overall improvement in water use efficiency. Improvements in water use efficiency due to elevated CO2 levels can increase plants' drought resilience by allowing them to maintain adequate hydration during periods of water scarcity. This can be particularly beneficial in arid and semi-arid regions where water availability is limited. Overall, the literature suggests that elevated CO2 levels can improve water use efficiency in plants by reducing stomatal conductance and water loss through transpiration, which can enhance their resilience to drought conditions.
6/15≫ Along with improved crop yields from "CO2 fertilization," that has greatly improved global food security and decreased famine risk. Global crop yields are near or above all-time records. Refs: ourworldindata.org/crop-yields sealevel.info/ourworldindata
7/15≫ Thanks to mild 2022-23 and 2023-24 winters, Germany got by without needing Russian gas β€” which is a very good thing, since they can't get it anymore. brookings.edu/articles/how-d
8/15≫ Coastal sea-level trends are about the same as they were seventy years ago (i.e., very slow/slight). sealevel.info/learnmore.html
9/15≫ Honolulu is arguably the best quality sea-level measurement record in the world. It's near the middle of the world's largest ocean. It has 119 years of continuous measurements, from a near ideal location, without even a single missing month of data. It shows: sealevel.info/MSL_graph.php? sealevel.info/1612340_Honolu Linear trend = 1.54 Β±0.20 mm/yr (6 inches/century) Acceleration = 0.000 Β±0.013 mm/yrΒ² (perfectly linear)
10/15≫ Note that there's been no detectable acceleration in the sea-level trend there. That's typical: some long measurement records show negligible acceleration, and others show none at all. Here's a Dutch measurement record with 158 years of continuous data! sealevel.info/MSL_graph.php? sealevel.info/Dutch_dike_vs_
11/15≫ In fact, the "global" (average) coastal sea-level trend is so slight & slow that in many places it is dwarfed by local factors, like erosion, sedimentation, and/or vertical land motion. @Greta Thunberg's hometown of Stockholm is one such place. sealevel.info/MSL_graph.php? sealevel.info/050-141_Stockh
12/15≫ The one really important change due to carbon emissions is a monumentally important improvement over the the last half century or so: the end of catastrophic famines. References: x.com/ncdave4life/st sealevel.info/Famine-death-r
✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton

✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton
@ncdave4life

3/7. The beneficial effects of elevated CO2 are helping make famines rare for first time in human history. If you're too young to understand how important that is, count yourself blessed! Famine used to be a scourge comparable to war & disease. sealevel.info/learnmore.html ourworldindata.org/famines
13/15≫ That's right: catastrophic famines are fading from living memory, for the very first time. For all of human history, famine (usually caused by drought) was one of the great scourges of mankind, the Third Horseman of the Apocalypse β€” until now! twitter.com/ncdave4life/st
✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton

✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton
@ncdave4life

12/19 That is BY FAR the MOST important thing: eCO2 is a major factor helping make food plentiful & famine rare. ourworldindata.org/famines Bye bye, Third Horseman of the Apocalypse! One down, War & Pestilence to go! sealevel.info/Famine-death-r
14/15≫ If you're too young to recognized what a miracle that is, count yourself blessed. In large part because of elevated CO2 levels, catastrophic famines no longer happen. x.com/ncdave4life/st
✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton

✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton
@ncdave4life

17/18》 Ending famine is a VERY Big Deal, comparable to ending war and disease. Compare: ● Covid-19 killed 0.1% of world population. ● 1918 flu pandemic killed about 2%. ● WWII killed 2.7%. ● The near-global drought & famine of 1876-78 killed about 3.7% of the world's population.
15/15≫ To understand a highly politicized issue like climate change, you need balanced information. I'm here to help: sealevel.info/learnmore.html It has: ● accurate introductory climatology information ● in-depth science from BOTH skeptics & alarmists ● links to balanced debates between experts on BOTH sides ● accurate information about climate impacts ● links to the best blogs on BOTH sides
✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton

✝️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Dave Burton

@ncdave4life
My preferred pronoun is "harmless data drudge." https://t.co/YTkK6vaHGs Tel: +1 919-481-0098.
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