Thread

on Iran nuclear

negotiations
1/ We most avoid a nuclear deal that looks like a rebranded version of the 2015 Obama disasterâthe same one Trump rightly torched in 2018 as âthe worst deal ever negotiated.â
2/ The new trap? Let Iran keep enriching uraniumâjust like under Obama. But that was the fatal flaw of the original deal. Enrichment = nuclear blackmail. Always has, always will.
3/ The 2015 deal handed Iran a legitimized nuclear program + up to $1 trillion in sanctions relief. The restrictions? Set to expire just five years from now. A ticking bomb.
4/ Some now claim Iranâs nuclear sprint began when Trump exited the deal in 2018. False. Iran hesitatedâuntil Biden took office, ditched maximum pressure, and begged Tehran to negotiate
5/ Iran saw weakness and escalated. The results:
â October 7
â Missiles fired at U.S. ships in the Red Sea
â A surge in enrichment, terror, and defiance and beginnings of weaponization
6/ The irony? Iran is far weaker today than in 2015.
â Israel has shattered its air defenses
â Crippled missile production
â Hammered Hezbollah & Hamas
â Assadâs Syria is no longer a reliable land bridge to Lebanon
7/ Instead of using this leverage to finish the job, Trumpâs lead negotiator backed off and conceded enrichmentâthen only revived âdismantlementâ language only after Republicans pushed back hard.
8/ Sen. Lindsey Graham is leading the charge, demanding full dismantlement of Iranâs nuclear infrastructure. Heâs not freelancingâheâs echoing Trumpâs 2018 and 2025 clarity.
9/ Trump has said: âThereâs two ways of stopping them. With bombs, or with a written piece of paper.â He later added: âInspect itâand then blow it up or make sure there are no more nuclear facilities.
10/ Trumpâs current national security teamâ
@Mike Waltz and
@Pete Hegsethâare clear: the only acceptable deal is one that dismantles all of Iranâs enrichment, weaponization, and missile programs.
11/ it is a big mistake to abandon full dismantlement, pushing a narrow focus on âweaponizationââas if Iran can be trusted to enrich uranium but not build a bomb.
12/ Thatâs a fantasy. With enough enriched uranium, Iran can build a warhead in a hidden labâthe size of a classroomâin a country 2.5x the size of Texas.
13/ Will Khamenei ever allow âanytime, anywhereâ access for IAEA inspectorsâincluding Americansâto his military sites, scientists, and weapons program?
14/ Of course not. Which makes a deal focused on âweaponizationâ worthless. Iran keeps the bomb-making material, we get a piece of worthless paper.
15/ Worst of all? A possible âfreeze-for-freezeâ deal. Iran halts 60% enrichmentâbut keeps growing its 3.67% and 20% stockpiles, which are 70â90% of the way to weapons-grade.
16/ Thatâs not diplomacy. Thatâs regime deception. A tactical pause while they rebuild their missile stockpiles with help from China and Russia and rebuild their terror proxies with cash.
17/ So hereâs the real test: Will President Trump sign off on a deal that looks like Obamaâs? And will congressional Republicansâwho opposed the JCPOA in 2015âback it now because it carries a Trump label?
18/ This is the moment to finish the jobânot fall back into Obama 2.0.
No enrichment. No bomb. No illusions.
19/ Thereâs no deal that ends Iranâs nuclear threat without a credible military option. Signalingâespecially in the NYTâthat itâs off the table even temporarily is a gift to Tehran. The regime wonât compromise unless it fears for its survival.