The Bulls are 3-0. But are they good? No. Here's why. They have been unreal good at "Jedi 3 point defense". Teams are shooting just 26% against them from 3. The next best opponent 3 point shooting percentage (SAC, MIA) is 31%. That's huge. And it's mostly luck.

Looking more holistically, the Bulls shot profile surrendered suggests a 56.7% eFG% for their opponents, but instead, they are only shooting 48.4% eFG%. See here: https://x.com/NBACouchside/status/1983169507473625153… We can do some quick math to see the impact of that.

Bulls' opponents have shot 94 FGA per game so far. 56.7% eFG% on 94 FGA translates to 106.6 points per game just on FGA. Add in the 19.7 FT points they've surrendered and you get to 126.3 points per game against. Compared to the 110.7 they've actually surrendered so far. Massive.

But it gets worse! Bulls' opponents have also shot just 74.7% from the line, compared to 78.4% league average. What's that do to our expected points surrendered per game?

Well, Bulls' opponents have shot 79 FTA over 3 games. League average shooting would have had them making 62. Instead they made 59. So a point per game difference.

So in total, the Bulls "should have" surrendered 127.3 points per game on defense compared to the 117.7 points per game they've scored. A -9.6 point differential. A team with a -9.6 point differential can be expected to win roughly 18 games in 82.

Applying that expected win% to the rest of the season (79 games) combined with the already banked 3 wins. This Bulls team is playing like they will actually win 20-21 games.